Current numerical weather prediction models from the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting clear skies, light northerly winds, and a daytime maximum near 22°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport. This consensus aligns with May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 20–24°C under similar synoptic patterns, and recent surface observations show consistent warming without significant moisture or instability to alter the outcome. Traders monitor real-time AEMET updates through the afternoon, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1–2°C and affect resolution thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 17일에 마드리드에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
22°C 99.6%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,733 거래량
$52,733 거래량
2026.05.17
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.6%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
$52,733 거래량
$52,733 거래량
2026.05.17
17°C or below
$2,658 거래량
<1%
18°C
$1,647 거래량
<1%
19°C
$5,613 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,618 거래량
<1%
21°C
$8,181 거래량
<1%
22°C
$11,725 거래량
100%
23°C
$9,505 거래량
<1%
24°C
$5,222 거래량
1%
25°C
$3,818 거래량
<1%
26°C
$1,588 거래량
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,214 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting clear skies, light northerly winds, and a daytime maximum near 22°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport. This consensus aligns with May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 20–24°C under similar synoptic patterns, and recent surface observations show consistent warming without significant moisture or instability to alter the outcome. Traders monitor real-time AEMET updates through the afternoon, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1–2°C and affect resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$52,733종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting clear skies, light northerly winds, and a daytime maximum near 22°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport. This consensus aligns with May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 20–24°C under similar synoptic patterns, and recent surface observations show consistent warming without significant moisture or instability to alter the outcome. Traders monitor real-time AEMET updates through the afternoon, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1–2°C and affect resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$52,733종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models from the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting clear skies, light northerly winds, and a daytime maximum near 22°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport. This consensus aligns with May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 20–24°C under similar synoptic patterns, and recent surface observations show consistent warming without significant moisture or instability to alter the outcome. Traders monitor real-time AEMET updates through the afternoon, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by 1–2°C and affect resolution thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문