PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,965 거래량
$28,965 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,965 거래량
$28,965 거래량
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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