National Weather Service forecasts and regional models for Miami International Airport converged on a daily high of 88-89°F for May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical early-summer humidity levels, establishing the market’s near-certain consensus on that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 87°F with low variability from stable subtropical high pressure. Model agreement minimized upside risk from sea-breeze convection or late-day heating, while historical records show only rare excursions above 90°F this early in the season absent tropical moisture influx. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at KMIA, so any last-minute observational revision or microclimate effect at the airport station remains the primary uncertainty that could still shift final settlement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$85,772 거래량
$85,772 거래량
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$85,772 거래량
$85,772 거래량
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
National Weather Service forecasts and regional models for Miami International Airport converged on a daily high of 88-89°F for May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical early-summer humidity levels, establishing the market’s near-certain consensus on that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 87°F with low variability from stable subtropical high pressure. Model agreement minimized upside risk from sea-breeze convection or late-day heating, while historical records show only rare excursions above 90°F this early in the season absent tropical moisture influx. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at KMIA, so any last-minute observational revision or microclimate effect at the airport station remains the primary uncertainty that could still shift final settlement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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