National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the upper 80s across Miami, positioning the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets as the clear market leaders at 45.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features average highs near 85 °F under subtropical high pressure, but today’s light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are limiting stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread around these values, with any deviations likely tied to exact timing of cloud cover or brief showers. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 36%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 6.8%
$28,253 거래량
$28,253 거래량
75°F 이하
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94°F 이상
1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 36%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 6.8%
$28,253 거래량
$28,253 거래량
75°F 이하
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94°F 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies and daytime highs in the upper 80s across Miami, positioning the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F brackets as the clear market leaders at 45.5% and 35.5% implied probability. Typical May climatology features average highs near 85 °F under subtropical high pressure, but today’s light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels are limiting stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Model consensus shows minimal spread around these values, with any deviations likely tied to exact timing of cloud cover or brief showers. Updated observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution against these thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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