National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 마이애미에서 가장 높은 기온?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 6%
신규
$16,861 거래량
신규
$16,861 거래량
2026.05.18
77°F 이하
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F 이상
<1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 33%
84-85°F 14%
90-91°F 6%
신규
$16,861 거래량
신규
$16,861 거래량
2026.05.18
77°F 이하
$786 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$955 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$661 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$1,964 거래량
3%
84-85°F
$1,965 거래량
14%
86-87°F
$2,087 거래량
45%
88-89°F
$2,644 거래량
33%
90-91°F
$2,181 거래량
6%
92-93°F
$1,437 거래량
1%
94-95°F
$1,147 거래량
1%
96°F 이상
$1,112 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$16,861종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$16,861종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNational Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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