Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 21°C daily high in Milan today at 64.5% implied probability, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from European models showing peak surface temperatures stabilizing near that threshold under a building high-pressure ridge. Recent observational data confirm a gradual warming trend from the cooler 13°C reading two days prior, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting further intensification while maintaining moderate insolation. Historical May climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs between 18°C and 23°C, so current conditions align closely with the central tendency without pushing toward extremes. Key resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Milan Linate by the end of the 24-hour period, with any late-afternoon model update potentially shifting sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 밀라노에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 밀라노에서 가장 높은 기온?
21°C 62%
20°C 32%
22°C 6%
23°C <1%
$29,218 거래량
$29,218 거래량
2026.05.17
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
32%
21°C
62%
22°C
6%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 62%
20°C 32%
22°C 6%
23°C <1%
$29,218 거래량
$29,218 거래량
2026.05.17
15°C or below
$405 거래량
<1%
16°C
$472 거래량
<1%
17°C
$1,516 거래량
<1%
18°C
$2,552 거래량
<1%
19°C
$5,910 거래량
<1%
20°C
$4,434 거래량
32%
21°C
$3,003 거래량
62%
22°C
$3,544 거래량
6%
23°C
$3,628 거래량
<1%
24°C
$2,341 거래량
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,653 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 21°C daily high in Milan today at 64.5% implied probability, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from European models showing peak surface temperatures stabilizing near that threshold under a building high-pressure ridge. Recent observational data confirm a gradual warming trend from the cooler 13°C reading two days prior, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting further intensification while maintaining moderate insolation. Historical May climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs between 18°C and 23°C, so current conditions align closely with the central tendency without pushing toward extremes. Key resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Milan Linate by the end of the 24-hour period, with any late-afternoon model update potentially shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$29,218종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 21°C daily high in Milan today at 64.5% implied probability, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from European models showing peak surface temperatures stabilizing near that threshold under a building high-pressure ridge. Recent observational data confirm a gradual warming trend from the cooler 13°C reading two days prior, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting further intensification while maintaining moderate insolation. Historical May climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs between 18°C and 23°C, so current conditions align closely with the central tendency without pushing toward extremes. Key resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Milan Linate by the end of the 24-hour period, with any late-afternoon model update potentially shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$29,218종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 21°C daily high in Milan today at 64.5% implied probability, driven by the latest numerical weather prediction runs from European models showing peak surface temperatures stabilizing near that threshold under a building high-pressure ridge. Recent observational data confirm a gradual warming trend from the cooler 13°C reading two days prior, with light northerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting further intensification while maintaining moderate insolation. Historical May climatology for the Po Valley places typical highs between 18°C and 23°C, so current conditions align closely with the central tendency without pushing toward extremes. Key resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Milan Linate by the end of the 24-hour period, with any late-afternoon model update potentially shifting sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문