Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a maximum temperature of 21°C for Milan on May 17, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime warming. Ensemble runs display tight clustering around this value, with little spread indicating minimal risk of significant deviation from observed conditions. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the Po Valley, where daily maxima average near 20–22°C under similar synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus and will resolve against official station measurements, though localized urban heat or unexpected afternoon cloud buildup could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 밀라노에서 가장 높은 기온?
21°C 99.5%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,178 거래량
$42,178 거래량
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.5%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,178 거래량
$42,178 거래량
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a maximum temperature of 21°C for Milan on May 17, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime warming. Ensemble runs display tight clustering around this value, with little spread indicating minimal risk of significant deviation from observed conditions. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the Po Valley, where daily maxima average near 20–22°C under similar synoptic patterns. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus and will resolve against official station measurements, though localized urban heat or unexpected afternoon cloud buildup could still shift the recorded peak by 1–2°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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