Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow under a high-pressure ridge that is advecting warmer continental air, with daytime highs expected to reach 24–26 °C amid light easterly winds and partial cloud cover. This setup supports modest surface heating above the May climatological average of roughly 18 °C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % consensus on a 26 °C peak. Ensemble model runs indicate limited upside potential because stronger subsidence or clearer skies would be required to push readings higher. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud decks could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, though current observations and short-range guidance make such deviations unlikely before the daily high is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,789 거래량
$44,789 거래량
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,789 거래량
$44,789 거래량
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow under a high-pressure ridge that is advecting warmer continental air, with daytime highs expected to reach 24–26 °C amid light easterly winds and partial cloud cover. This setup supports modest surface heating above the May climatological average of roughly 18 °C, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % consensus on a 26 °C peak. Ensemble model runs indicate limited upside potential because stronger subsidence or clearer skies would be required to push readings higher. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or thicker cloud decks could cap the maximum a degree or two lower, though current observations and short-range guidance make such deviations unlikely before the daily high is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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