Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance points to a southerly flow and mostly clear skies that could lift New York City’s May 19 high into the low-to-mid 90s, keeping the top three market brackets—90-91 °F, 92-93 °F, and 88-89 °F—within a few percentage points of each other. Model spread remains modest because surface pressure gradients and boundary-layer moisture are still evolving, while climatological norms for mid-May place the typical daily maximum near 76 °F. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs most heavily, with any shift in the 18Z or overnight guidance likely to reorder the narrow probability distribution before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 19일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
5월 19일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
90-91°F 26%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 22%
94-95°F 13%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
81°F 이하
<1%
82~83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100°F 이상
1%
90-91°F 26%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 22%
94-95°F 13%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
81°F 이하
$285 거래량
<1%
82~83°F
$37 거래량
1%
84-85°F
$197 거래량
2%
86-87°F
$1 거래량
7%
88-89°F
$31 거래량
23%
90-91°F
$66 거래량
26%
92-93°F
$141 거래량
22%
94-95°F
$17 거래량
13%
96-97°F
$17 거래량
4%
98-99°F
$1 거래량
2%
100°F 이상
$40 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance points to a southerly flow and mostly clear skies that could lift New York City’s May 19 high into the low-to-mid 90s, keeping the top three market brackets—90-91 °F, 92-93 °F, and 88-89 °F—within a few percentage points of each other. Model spread remains modest because surface pressure gradients and boundary-layer moisture are still evolving, while climatological norms for mid-May place the typical daily maximum near 76 °F. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs most heavily, with any shift in the 18Z or overnight guidance likely to reorder the narrow probability distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$834종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance points to a southerly flow and mostly clear skies that could lift New York City’s May 19 high into the low-to-mid 90s, keeping the top three market brackets—90-91 °F, 92-93 °F, and 88-89 °F—within a few percentage points of each other. Model spread remains modest because surface pressure gradients and boundary-layer moisture are still evolving, while climatological norms for mid-May place the typical daily maximum near 76 °F. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs most heavily, with any shift in the 18Z or overnight guidance likely to reorder the narrow probability distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$834종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent National Weather Service ensemble guidance points to a southerly flow and mostly clear skies that could lift New York City’s May 19 high into the low-to-mid 90s, keeping the top three market brackets—90-91 °F, 92-93 °F, and 88-89 °F—within a few percentage points of each other. Model spread remains modest because surface pressure gradients and boundary-layer moisture are still evolving, while climatological norms for mid-May place the typical daily maximum near 76 °F. Traders are therefore weighting the latest model runs most heavily, with any shift in the 18Z or overnight guidance likely to reorder the narrow probability distribution before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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