Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance has converged on a precise 24 °C daytime maximum for Seoul on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence, clear skies, and only modest southerly warm-air advection. This setup aligns with the historical May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 22–24 °C, and current ensemble model consensus shows minimal spread around that value. The market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C therefore reflects traders’ confidence in the official forecast and the absence of significant boundary-layer warming mechanisms. Only an unanticipated strengthening of the urban heat-island effect or a late revision in the final observational data could realistically shift the outcome toward 25 °C or higher before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
24°C 100.0%
16도 이하 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$328,286 거래량
$328,286 거래량
2026.05.16
16도 이하
아니오
17°C
아니오
18°C
No
19°C
아니오
20°C
아니오
21°C
아니오
22°C
아니오
23°C
아니오
24°C
예
25°C
아니오
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16도 이하 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$328,286 거래량
$328,286 거래량
2026.05.16
16도 이하
$105,933 거래량
아니오
17°C
$4,940 거래량
아니오
18°C
$1,747 거래량
No
19°C
$8,166 거래량
아니오
20°C
$7,976 거래량
아니오
21°C
$16,986 거래량
아니오
22°C
$23,607 거래량
아니오
23°C
$28,971 거래량
아니오
24°C
$51,538 거래량
예
25°C
$27,519 거래량
아니오
26°C or higher
$50,902 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance has converged on a precise 24 °C daytime maximum for Seoul on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence, clear skies, and only modest southerly warm-air advection. This setup aligns with the historical May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 22–24 °C, and current ensemble model consensus shows minimal spread around that value. The market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C therefore reflects traders’ confidence in the official forecast and the absence of significant boundary-layer warming mechanisms. Only an unanticipated strengthening of the urban heat-island effect or a late revision in the final observational data could realistically shift the outcome toward 25 °C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$328,286종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance has converged on a precise 24 °C daytime maximum for Seoul on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence, clear skies, and only modest southerly warm-air advection. This setup aligns with the historical May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 22–24 °C, and current ensemble model consensus shows minimal spread around that value. The market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C therefore reflects traders’ confidence in the official forecast and the absence of significant boundary-layer warming mechanisms. Only an unanticipated strengthening of the urban heat-island effect or a late revision in the final observational data could realistically shift the outcome toward 25 °C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$328,286종료일
2026.05.16마켓 개설일
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance has converged on a precise 24 °C daytime maximum for Seoul on May 16 under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors subsidence, clear skies, and only modest southerly warm-air advection. This setup aligns with the historical May climatology for the region, where typical highs range 22–24 °C, and current ensemble model consensus shows minimal spread around that value. The market’s 100 % implied probability for exactly 24 °C therefore reflects traders’ confidence in the official forecast and the absence of significant boundary-layer warming mechanisms. Only an unanticipated strengthening of the urban heat-island effect or a late revision in the final observational data could realistically shift the outcome toward 25 °C or higher before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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