Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts point to a 31°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 17, underpinned by light easterly flow, minimal cloud cover, and stable early-season atmospheric conditions ahead of the Meiyu front. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where highs typically reach 28–32°C under similar synoptic patterns, and recent model runs show little divergence in peak temperature or timing. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a minor shift in steering winds could realistically cap the high at 30°C or nudge it to 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on current observational data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 타이베이에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 타이베이에서 가장 높은 기온?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 거래량
$111,647 거래량
2026.05.17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 거래량
$111,647 거래량
2026.05.17
23°C or below
$1,818 거래량
<1%
24°C
$1,853 거래량
<1%
25°C
$1,227 거래량
<1%
26°C
$3,535 거래량
<1%
27°C
$3,351 거래량
<1%
28°C
$5,753 거래량
<1%
29°C
$4,850 거래량
<1%
30°C
$60,918 거래량
<1%
31°C
$8,881 거래량
100%
32°C
$8,046 거래량
<1%
33°C or higher
$11,416 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts point to a 31°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 17, underpinned by light easterly flow, minimal cloud cover, and stable early-season atmospheric conditions ahead of the Meiyu front. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where highs typically reach 28–32°C under similar synoptic patterns, and recent model runs show little divergence in peak temperature or timing. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a minor shift in steering winds could realistically cap the high at 30°C or nudge it to 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on current observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$111,647종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts point to a 31°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 17, underpinned by light easterly flow, minimal cloud cover, and stable early-season atmospheric conditions ahead of the Meiyu front. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where highs typically reach 28–32°C under similar synoptic patterns, and recent model runs show little divergence in peak temperature or timing. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a minor shift in steering winds could realistically cap the high at 30°C or nudge it to 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on current observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$111,647종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTaiwan’s Central Weather Administration forecasts point to a 31°C daily maximum in Taipei on May 17, underpinned by light easterly flow, minimal cloud cover, and stable early-season atmospheric conditions ahead of the Meiyu front. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where highs typically reach 28–32°C under similar synoptic patterns, and recent model runs show little divergence in peak temperature or timing. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability for exactly 31°C reflects high confidence in these stable conditions. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a minor shift in steering winds could realistically cap the high at 30°C or nudge it to 32°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on current observational data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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