Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs in Taipei on May 18 will likely peak in the low 30s Celsius, driven by a strengthening subtropical Pacific ridge that promotes clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of mid-May. Regional ensemble models show modest spread around peak temperatures near 32–33°C, with small variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture able to shift the exact maximum by a degree or two. Historical CWA station data from the past two decades place the median May 18 high near 30°C, yet recent years have frequently exceeded that range when ridging dominates, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C while leaving room for 34°C or higher if heating intensifies beyond current guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 타이베이에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 타이베이에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
32°C 29%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C or higher 14.1%
신규
$13,080 거래량
신규
$13,080 거래량
2026.05.18
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
13%
31°C
19%
32°C
29%
33°C
27%
34°C or higher
14%
32°C 29%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
34°C or higher 14.1%
신규
$13,080 거래량
신규
$13,080 거래량
2026.05.18
24°C or below
$908 거래량
<1%
25°C
$879 거래량
<1%
26°C
$985 거래량
<1%
27°C
$1,689 거래량
<1%
28°C
$1,474 거래량
<1%
29°C
$864 거래량
7%
30°C
$964 거래량
13%
31°C
$1,100 거래량
19%
32°C
$986 거래량
29%
33°C
$1,225 거래량
27%
34°C or higher
$2,029 거래량
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs in Taipei on May 18 will likely peak in the low 30s Celsius, driven by a strengthening subtropical Pacific ridge that promotes clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of mid-May. Regional ensemble models show modest spread around peak temperatures near 32–33°C, with small variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture able to shift the exact maximum by a degree or two. Historical CWA station data from the past two decades place the median May 18 high near 30°C, yet recent years have frequently exceeded that range when ridging dominates, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C while leaving room for 34°C or higher if heating intensifies beyond current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$13,080종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs in Taipei on May 18 will likely peak in the low 30s Celsius, driven by a strengthening subtropical Pacific ridge that promotes clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of mid-May. Regional ensemble models show modest spread around peak temperatures near 32–33°C, with small variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture able to shift the exact maximum by a degree or two. Historical CWA station data from the past two decades place the median May 18 high near 30°C, yet recent years have frequently exceeded that range when ridging dominates, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C while leaving room for 34°C or higher if heating intensifies beyond current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$13,080종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs in Taipei on May 18 will likely peak in the low 30s Celsius, driven by a strengthening subtropical Pacific ridge that promotes clear skies and strong diurnal heating typical of mid-May. Regional ensemble models show modest spread around peak temperatures near 32–33°C, with small variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture able to shift the exact maximum by a degree or two. Historical CWA station data from the past two decades place the median May 18 high near 30°C, yet recent years have frequently exceeded that range when ridging dominates, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C while leaving room for 34°C or higher if heating intensifies beyond current guidance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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