Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driving the 100 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain is promoting southerly warm advection and strong insolation under mostly clear skies, conditions that align with the upper end of mid-May climatological norms for Tokyo. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show little spread within a narrow 1 °C envelope, and with only hours remaining before the official daily high is recorded, further revisions are unlikely. The primary risk to this consensus remains an unanticipated late adjustment in observational data or localized measurement variation at resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 거래량
$88,867 거래량
2026.05.17
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 거래량
$88,867 거래량
2026.05.17
20°C or below
$3,024 거래량
<1%
21°C
$1,893 거래량
<1%
22°C
$819 거래량
<1%
23°C
$5,290 거래량
<1%
24°C
$8,445 거래량
<1%
25°C
$7,219 거래량
<1%
26°C
$10,417 거래량
<1%
27°C
$10,583 거래량
<1%
28°C
$19,728 거래량
100%
29°C
$11,061 거래량
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driving the 100 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain is promoting southerly warm advection and strong insolation under mostly clear skies, conditions that align with the upper end of mid-May climatological norms for Tokyo. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show little spread within a narrow 1 °C envelope, and with only hours remaining before the official daily high is recorded, further revisions are unlikely. The primary risk to this consensus remains an unanticipated late adjustment in observational data or localized measurement variation at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$88,867종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driving the 100 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain is promoting southerly warm advection and strong insolation under mostly clear skies, conditions that align with the upper end of mid-May climatological norms for Tokyo. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show little spread within a narrow 1 °C envelope, and with only hours remaining before the official daily high is recorded, further revisions are unlikely. The primary risk to this consensus remains an unanticipated late adjustment in observational data or localized measurement variation at resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$88,867종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 28 °C at the official Otemachi station, driving the 100 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Kanto Plain is promoting southerly warm advection and strong insolation under mostly clear skies, conditions that align with the upper end of mid-May climatological norms for Tokyo. Short-range numerical weather prediction models show little spread within a narrow 1 °C envelope, and with only hours remaining before the official daily high is recorded, further revisions are unlikely. The primary risk to this consensus remains an unanticipated late adjustment in observational data or localized measurement variation at resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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