Recent observational data and forecast verification from meteorological agencies have aligned closely with a daily high of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to full consensus on this outcome. Late-spring conditions in the region typically feature highs between 25°C and 29°C, supported by climatological baselines and current atmospheric stability that limits significant warming or cooling. Model runs show minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture levels today, reinforcing trader confidence in this specific threshold. A sudden shift from an unforecasted frontal passage or post-event data revision could still alter the recorded maximum, though such changes remain improbable given the advanced stage of daily monitoring.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 우한에서 가장 높은 온도는?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,936 거래량
$53,936 거래량
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,936 거래량
$53,936 거래량
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent observational data and forecast verification from meteorological agencies have aligned closely with a daily high of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driving the market-implied odds to full consensus on this outcome. Late-spring conditions in the region typically feature highs between 25°C and 29°C, supported by climatological baselines and current atmospheric stability that limits significant warming or cooling. Model runs show minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture levels today, reinforcing trader confidence in this specific threshold. A sudden shift from an unforecasted frontal passage or post-event data revision could still alter the recorded maximum, though such changes remain improbable given the advanced stage of daily monitoring.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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