Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Wuhan on May 17, driven by the latest National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time observational data showing daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs at 26–28°C, with current model runs indicating minimal deviation from this baseline amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity. Recent surface observations from Wuhan stations confirm steady warming trends consistent with these projections. A shift to stronger southerly flow or localized convection could realistically push readings to 29°C or higher, though ensemble guidance suggests low likelihood before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 우한에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 우한에서 가장 높은 온도는?
28°C 98.4%
29°C 1.5%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$49,460 거래량
$49,460 거래량
2026.05.17
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
98%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98.4%
29°C 1.5%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$49,460 거래량
$49,460 거래량
2026.05.17
24°C or below
$3,314 거래량
<1%
25°C
$2,402 거래량
<1%
26°C
$4,976 거래량
<1%
27°C
$14,144 거래량
<1%
28°C
$5,958 거래량
98%
29°C
$2,639 거래량
2%
30°C
$2,762 거래량
<1%
31°C
$3,630 거래량
<1%
32°C
$6,668 거래량
<1%
33°C
$1,610 거래량
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,360 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Wuhan on May 17, driven by the latest National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time observational data showing daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs at 26–28°C, with current model runs indicating minimal deviation from this baseline amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity. Recent surface observations from Wuhan stations confirm steady warming trends consistent with these projections. A shift to stronger southerly flow or localized convection could realistically push readings to 29°C or higher, though ensemble guidance suggests low likelihood before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$49,460종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns overwhelming 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Wuhan on May 17, driven by the latest National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time observational data showing daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs at 26–28°C, with current model runs indicating minimal deviation from this baseline amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity. Recent surface observations from Wuhan stations confirm steady warming trends consistent with these projections. A shift to stronger southerly flow or localized convection could realistically push readings to 29°C or higher, though ensemble guidance suggests low likelihood before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$49,460종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus assigns overwhelming 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Wuhan on May 17, driven by the latest National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time observational data showing daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs at 26–28°C, with current model runs indicating minimal deviation from this baseline amid stable high-pressure influence and moderate humidity. Recent surface observations from Wuhan stations confirm steady warming trends consistent with these projections. A shift to stronger southerly flow or localized convection could realistically push readings to 29°C or higher, though ensemble guidance suggests low likelihood before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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