Global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey continues to record moderate activity consistent with typical weekly rates of magnitude 5.5 or greater events along subduction zones and transform boundaries such as the Pacific Ring of Fire. Current counts through mid-May align closely with historical baselines of roughly seven to eight such quakes per seven-day period, driven by steady tectonic stress release rather than any notable swarms or aftershock sequences. No major M6+ events or unusual clustering in high-risk regions like Indonesia, Japan, or the Andes have shifted the tally significantly higher in recent days. Final resolution will depend on USGS post-processing of preliminary detections, with any late revisions to borderline magnitudes representing the main source of remaining uncertainty before the market closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
7 79.9%
8 13.4%
9 4.0%
5 1.0%
$133,022 거래량
$133,022 거래량
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
<1%
7
72%
8
13%
9
4%
>9
<1%
7 79.9%
8 13.4%
9 4.0%
5 1.0%
$133,022 거래량
$133,022 거래량
≤3
<1%
4
1%
5
1%
6
<1%
7
72%
8
13%
9
4%
>9
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
마켓 개설일: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey continues to record moderate activity consistent with typical weekly rates of magnitude 5.5 or greater events along subduction zones and transform boundaries such as the Pacific Ring of Fire. Current counts through mid-May align closely with historical baselines of roughly seven to eight such quakes per seven-day period, driven by steady tectonic stress release rather than any notable swarms or aftershock sequences. No major M6+ events or unusual clustering in high-risk regions like Indonesia, Japan, or the Andes have shifted the tally significantly higher in recent days. Final resolution will depend on USGS post-processing of preliminary detections, with any late revisions to borderline magnitudes representing the main source of remaining uncertainty before the market closes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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