Trader consensus prices near-certainty against a Kurdish declaration of independence from Iran by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. The February 2026 formation of the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan emphasized regime overthrow and self-determination rather than secession, while Iranian security forces conducted targeted operations that dismantled militant networks by late April without triggering unified separatist moves. Fragmented opposition groups operate without centralized command, sufficient armed capacity, or external recognition inside a unitary state structure, and no major developments have shifted these constraints in the past month. Realistic changes could still arise from full regime collapse, sustained foreign military intervention, or a sudden coordinated uprising that overcomes internal divisions and secures territorial control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$139,095 거래량
$139,095 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$139,095 거래량
$139,095 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices near-certainty against a Kurdish declaration of independence from Iran by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. The February 2026 formation of the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan emphasized regime overthrow and self-determination rather than secession, while Iranian security forces conducted targeted operations that dismantled militant networks by late April without triggering unified separatist moves. Fragmented opposition groups operate without centralized command, sufficient armed capacity, or external recognition inside a unitary state structure, and no major developments have shifted these constraints in the past month. Realistic changes could still arise from full regime collapse, sustained foreign military intervention, or a sudden coordinated uprising that overcomes internal divisions and secures territorial control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
거래량
$139,095종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices near-certainty against a Kurdish declaration of independence from Iran by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. The February 2026 formation of the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan emphasized regime overthrow and self-determination rather than secession, while Iranian security forces conducted targeted operations that dismantled militant networks by late April without triggering unified separatist moves. Fragmented opposition groups operate without centralized command, sufficient armed capacity, or external recognition inside a unitary state structure, and no major developments have shifted these constraints in the past month. Realistic changes could still arise from full regime collapse, sustained foreign military intervention, or a sudden coordinated uprising that overcomes internal divisions and secures territorial control.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$139,095종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices near-certainty against a Kurdish declaration of independence from Iran by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. The February 2026 formation of the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan emphasized regime overthrow and self-determination rather than secession, while Iranian security forces conducted targeted operations that dismantled militant networks by late April without triggering unified separatist moves. Fragmented opposition groups operate without centralized command, sufficient armed capacity, or external recognition inside a unitary state structure, and no major developments have shifted these constraints in the past month. Realistic changes could still arise from full regime collapse, sustained foreign military intervention, or a sudden coordinated uprising that overcomes internal divisions and secures territorial control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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