Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 23°C on May 16, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light easterly winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when daily lows typically range from 22–25°C absent typhoon influences or cold surges. Model consensus from regional forecasts showed minimal deviation in surface temperatures, with no updated advisories indicating shifts toward cooler readings. While sudden localized rainfall could theoretically lower readings by 1–2°C in isolated spots, current data streams support the dominant market-implied outcome of exactly 23°C as the citywide low.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 16일 홍콩 최저 기온?
23°C 100.0%
18°C 이하 <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 거래량
$38,336 거래량
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C 이상
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C 이하 <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 거래량
$38,336 거래량
18°C 이하
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 23°C on May 16, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure conditions and light easterly winds that prevented significant nocturnal cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when daily lows typically range from 22–25°C absent typhoon influences or cold surges. Model consensus from regional forecasts showed minimal deviation in surface temperatures, with no updated advisories indicating shifts toward cooler readings. While sudden localized rainfall could theoretically lower readings by 1–2°C in isolated spots, current data streams support the dominant market-implied outcome of exactly 23°C as the citywide low.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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