As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center's daily tropical weather outlooks show no organized disturbances or favorable atmospheric conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days. This aligns with climatological patterns, where the first named storm typically forms around June 20, well after the official June 1 season start. Emerging El Niño conditions are expected to further suppress early-season activity by increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere. With zero systems recorded so far and NOAA's seasonal outlook scheduled for release on May 21, traders see limited pathways for a pre-season named storm, reinforcing the strong market consensus against formation before June 1.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트허리케인 시즌이 오기 전에 폭풍으로 명명되었나요?
예
$341,219 거래량
$341,219 거래량
예
$341,219 거래량
$341,219 거래량
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center's daily tropical weather outlooks show no organized disturbances or favorable atmospheric conditions for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days. This aligns with climatological patterns, where the first named storm typically forms around June 20, well after the official June 1 season start. Emerging El Niño conditions are expected to further suppress early-season activity by increasing wind shear and stabilizing the atmosphere. With zero systems recorded so far and NOAA's seasonal outlook scheduled for release on May 21, traders see limited pathways for a pre-season named storm, reinforcing the strong market consensus against formation before June 1.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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