The matchup between Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district drives current trader positioning for the November 2026 general election. De La Cruz advanced unopposed through her primary while Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in March, with the contest unfolding in a district carrying an R+7 partisan voting index. Fundraising totals show the incumbent holding a substantial cash advantage entering the general, though national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns among key demographics remain central variables. With the race rated Likely Republican by major forecasters yet viewed as competitive by prediction market participants, recent primary outcomes and early polling averages have kept implied probabilities in a narrow range reflecting uncertainty over the final margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트TX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
51%
Republican Party
51%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$1,172 거래량
51%
Republican Party
$1,298 거래량
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The matchup between Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district drives current trader positioning for the November 2026 general election. De La Cruz advanced unopposed through her primary while Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in March, with the contest unfolding in a district carrying an R+7 partisan voting index. Fundraising totals show the incumbent holding a substantial cash advantage entering the general, though national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns among key demographics remain central variables. With the race rated Likely Republican by major forecasters yet viewed as competitive by prediction market participants, recent primary outcomes and early polling averages have kept implied probabilities in a narrow range reflecting uncertainty over the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$2,471종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The matchup between Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district drives current trader positioning for the November 2026 general election. De La Cruz advanced unopposed through her primary while Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in March, with the contest unfolding in a district carrying an R+7 partisan voting index. Fundraising totals show the incumbent holding a substantial cash advantage entering the general, though national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns among key demographics remain central variables. With the race rated Likely Republican by major forecasters yet viewed as competitive by prediction market participants, recent primary outcomes and early polling averages have kept implied probabilities in a narrow range reflecting uncertainty over the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,471종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The matchup between Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in Texas's 15th congressional district drives current trader positioning for the November 2026 general election. De La Cruz advanced unopposed through her primary while Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in March, with the contest unfolding in a district carrying an R+7 partisan voting index. Fundraising totals show the incumbent holding a substantial cash advantage entering the general, though national midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns among key demographics remain central variables. With the race rated Likely Republican by major forecasters yet viewed as competitive by prediction market participants, recent primary outcomes and early polling averages have kept implied probabilities in a narrow range reflecting uncertainty over the final margin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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