Tightening U.S. cattle supplies continue to anchor elevated ground beef prices amid a multi-year herd contraction. USDA forecasts 2026 beef production at 25.79 billion pounds, down roughly 2% from 2025 levels, reflecting cattle inventories near 70-year lows after persistent drought and elevated feed costs curtailed expansion. Resilient domestic demand has pushed average ground beef to $6.70 per pound as of March 2026, with retail values approaching $10 for select cuts and USDA projecting overall beef price gains exceeding 10%. Rising imports, currently forecast near 5.79 billion pounds, offer partial offset while traders assess upcoming livestock inventory reports and summer demand patterns for shifts in price-threshold probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,701 거래량
2026.12.31
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
51%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
16%
$18,701 거래량
$7.000+
$50 거래량
76%
$8.000+
$1,518 거래량
51%
$9.000+
$22 거래량
38%
$10.000+
$17,111 거래량
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tightening U.S. cattle supplies continue to anchor elevated ground beef prices amid a multi-year herd contraction. USDA forecasts 2026 beef production at 25.79 billion pounds, down roughly 2% from 2025 levels, reflecting cattle inventories near 70-year lows after persistent drought and elevated feed costs curtailed expansion. Resilient domestic demand has pushed average ground beef to $6.70 per pound as of March 2026, with retail values approaching $10 for select cuts and USDA projecting overall beef price gains exceeding 10%. Rising imports, currently forecast near 5.79 billion pounds, offer partial offset while traders assess upcoming livestock inventory reports and summer demand patterns for shifts in price-threshold probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
마켓 개설일: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$18,701종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tightening U.S. cattle supplies continue to anchor elevated ground beef prices amid a multi-year herd contraction. USDA forecasts 2026 beef production at 25.79 billion pounds, down roughly 2% from 2025 levels, reflecting cattle inventories near 70-year lows after persistent drought and elevated feed costs curtailed expansion. Resilient domestic demand has pushed average ground beef to $6.70 per pound as of March 2026, with retail values approaching $10 for select cuts and USDA projecting overall beef price gains exceeding 10%. Rising imports, currently forecast near 5.79 billion pounds, offer partial offset while traders assess upcoming livestock inventory reports and summer demand patterns for shifts in price-threshold probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
거래량
$18,701종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tightening U.S. cattle supplies continue to anchor elevated ground beef prices amid a multi-year herd contraction. USDA forecasts 2026 beef production at 25.79 billion pounds, down roughly 2% from 2025 levels, reflecting cattle inventories near 70-year lows after persistent drought and elevated feed costs curtailed expansion. Resilient domestic demand has pushed average ground beef to $6.70 per pound as of March 2026, with retail values approaching $10 for select cuts and USDA projecting overall beef price gains exceeding 10%. Rising imports, currently forecast near 5.79 billion pounds, offer partial offset while traders assess upcoming livestock inventory reports and summer demand patterns for shifts in price-threshold probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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