House passage of a three-year reauthorization bill for FISA Section 702 on April 29 by a 235-191 bipartisan vote, followed by a 45-day extension approved by both chambers on April 30, has solidified trader consensus at 97.5% for renewal before the new June 12 sunset. This reflects historical patterns of Congress extending the surveillance authority amid intelligence community emphasis on its role in counterterrorism and foreign threats, despite privacy concerns over warrantless collection of U.S. persons' data. Leadership from Intelligence Committee chairs like Crawford and Himes supports minimal reforms already included. Realistic disruptions—Senate demands for warrant requirements, filibuster holds, or procedural gridlock—remain low-probability given bipartisan momentum and national security pressures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$40,917 Wol.
$40,917 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
$40,917 Wol.
$40,917 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House passage of a three-year reauthorization bill for FISA Section 702 on April 29 by a 235-191 bipartisan vote, followed by a 45-day extension approved by both chambers on April 30, has solidified trader consensus at 97.5% for renewal before the new June 12 sunset. This reflects historical patterns of Congress extending the surveillance authority amid intelligence community emphasis on its role in counterterrorism and foreign threats, despite privacy concerns over warrantless collection of U.S. persons' data. Leadership from Intelligence Committee chairs like Crawford and Himes supports minimal reforms already included. Realistic disruptions—Senate demands for warrant requirements, filibuster holds, or procedural gridlock—remain low-probability given bipartisan momentum and national security pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,917Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House passage of a three-year reauthorization bill for FISA Section 702 on April 29 by a 235-191 bipartisan vote, followed by a 45-day extension approved by both chambers on April 30, has solidified trader consensus at 97.5% for renewal before the new June 12 sunset. This reflects historical patterns of Congress extending the surveillance authority amid intelligence community emphasis on its role in counterterrorism and foreign threats, despite privacy concerns over warrantless collection of U.S. persons' data. Leadership from Intelligence Committee chairs like Crawford and Himes supports minimal reforms already included. Realistic disruptions—Senate demands for warrant requirements, filibuster holds, or procedural gridlock—remain low-probability given bipartisan momentum and national security pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$40,917Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House passage of a three-year reauthorization bill for FISA Section 702 on April 29 by a 235-191 bipartisan vote, followed by a 45-day extension approved by both chambers on April 30, has solidified trader consensus at 97.5% for renewal before the new June 12 sunset. This reflects historical patterns of Congress extending the surveillance authority amid intelligence community emphasis on its role in counterterrorism and foreign threats, despite privacy concerns over warrantless collection of U.S. persons' data. Leadership from Intelligence Committee chairs like Crawford and Himes supports minimal reforms already included. Realistic disruptions—Senate demands for warrant requirements, filibuster holds, or procedural gridlock—remain low-probability given bipartisan momentum and national security pressures.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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