Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 4?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 Wol.
$31,778 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 Wol.
$31,778 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
87°F or below
$383 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$697 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$1,776 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$2,595 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$10,981 Wol.
Yes
96-97°F
$7,832 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$3,959 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$1,181 Wol.
No
102-103°F
$1,283 Wol.
No
104-105°F
$498 Wol.
No
106°F or higher
$592 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$31,778Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$31,778Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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