India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 13?
37°C or below 100.0%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$56,545 Wol.
$56,545 Wol.
May 13, 2026
37°C or below
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
37°C or below 100.0%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$56,545 Wol.
$56,545 Wol.
May 13, 2026
37°C or below
$9,348 Wol.
Yes
38°C
$3,233 Wol.
No
39°C
$3,660 Wol.
No
40°C
$4,031 Wol.
No
41°C
$8,655 Wol.
No
42°C
$4,702 Wol.
No
43°C
$4,207 Wol.
No
44°C
$4,184 Wol.
No
45°C
$4,384 Wol.
No
46°C
$4,700 Wol.
No
47°C or higher
$5,443 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
Wolumen
$56,545Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$56,545Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:50 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport, Lucknow's resolution station, show the May 13 peak temperature holding at or below 37°C through late afternoon, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Mainly clear skies with moderate humidity (40-60%) and light winds have subdued solar heating, yielding departures 1.7-2.7°C below seasonal May norms—far cooler than historical averages near 40°C amid typical pre-monsoon intensity. IMD forecast models cap the daily maximum at 37°C, corroborated by real-time data and evening cooldown to 27-28°C. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day insolation spike or upward data revision in tomorrow's final bulletin, though current trajectories and ensemble consensus deem this improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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