The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 4?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 Wol.
$29,218 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 Wol.
$29,218 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Wol.
No
21°C
$427 Wol.
No
22°C
$543 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,015 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,931 Wol.
No
25°C
$5,110 Wol.
No
26°C
$9,304 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$5,672 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,737 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,445 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$687 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,218Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,218Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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