Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo highs near 28–29°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 57% implied probability. August marks winter in the Southern Hemisphere, when average highs typically reach only 24–25°C, but early-month atmospheric conditions including a veranico warm spell have elevated readings, with one July peak already hitting 28.9°C. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation supporting modest warming above seasonal norms without crossing into extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these short-term observational trends and ensemble guidance more heavily than longer-term climatology, while noting that final official measurements from INMET stations will determine resolution within the narrow 27–29°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 5?
28°C 56%
27°C 24%
29°C 19%
26°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
24%
28°C
56%
29°C
19%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 56%
27°C 24%
29°C 19%
26°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$369 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$519 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$229 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$484 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,425 Wol.
3%
27°C
$1,132 Wol.
24%
28°C
$805 Wol.
56%
29°C
$525 Wol.
19%
30°C
$313 Wol.
2%
31°C
$313 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$267 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo highs near 28–29°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 57% implied probability. August marks winter in the Southern Hemisphere, when average highs typically reach only 24–25°C, but early-month atmospheric conditions including a veranico warm spell have elevated readings, with one July peak already hitting 28.9°C. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation supporting modest warming above seasonal norms without crossing into extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these short-term observational trends and ensemble guidance more heavily than longer-term climatology, while noting that final official measurements from INMET stations will determine resolution within the narrow 27–29°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,377Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo highs near 28–29°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 57% implied probability. August marks winter in the Southern Hemisphere, when average highs typically reach only 24–25°C, but early-month atmospheric conditions including a veranico warm spell have elevated readings, with one July peak already hitting 28.9°C. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation supporting modest warming above seasonal norms without crossing into extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these short-term observational trends and ensemble guidance more heavily than longer-term climatology, while noting that final official measurements from INMET stations will determine resolution within the narrow 27–29°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,377Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate Sao Paulo highs near 28–29°C on August 5, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 28°C outcome at 57% implied probability. August marks winter in the Southern Hemisphere, when average highs typically reach only 24–25°C, but early-month atmospheric conditions including a veranico warm spell have elevated readings, with one July peak already hitting 28.9°C. Model consensus points to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation supporting modest warming above seasonal norms without crossing into extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh these short-term observational trends and ensemble guidance more heavily than longer-term climatology, while noting that final official measurements from INMET stations will determine resolution within the narrow 27–29°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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