Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This scientific consensus explains the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability on 27°C and 26.5% on 28°C, while 26°C trails at 12.0%. Typical May climatology for the region shows highs of 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns, with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity expected to support modest daytime heating. Updated model runs and official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
27°C 51%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
29°C 9%
NOWE
$43,516 Wol.
NOWE
$43,516 Wol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
16%
27°C
51%
28°C
27%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
29°C 9%
NOWE
$43,516 Wol.
NOWE
$43,516 Wol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$869 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,101 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$3,944 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$7,502 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$9,632 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$5,975 Wol.
16%
27°C
$3,267 Wol.
51%
28°C
$3,428 Wol.
27%
29°C
$4,154 Wol.
9%
30°C
$4,224 Wol.
3%
31°C or higher
$3,584 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This scientific consensus explains the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability on 27°C and 26.5% on 28°C, while 26°C trails at 12.0%. Typical May climatology for the region shows highs of 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns, with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity expected to support modest daytime heating. Updated model runs and official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,516Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This scientific consensus explains the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability on 27°C and 26.5% on 28°C, while 26°C trails at 12.0%. Typical May climatology for the region shows highs of 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns, with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity expected to support modest daytime heating. Updated model runs and official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$43,516Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models currently converge on a daily maximum near 27°C for Shanghai on May 18, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This scientific consensus explains the market’s leading 50.5% implied probability on 27°C and 26.5% on 28°C, while 26°C trails at 12.0%. Typical May climatology for the region shows highs of 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns, with limited cloud cover and moderate humidity expected to support modest daytime heating. Updated model runs and official observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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