Current forecast ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Tokyo's May 18 minimum temperature near 16°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, but spreads of 3–5°C across runs explain the closely matched trader consensus across 14–23°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology averages 15–17°C lows, with urban heat island effects and potential cloud trapping elevating minima amid ENSO-neutral conditions leaning toward El Niño warmth. Key differentiators include frontal passage risks for cooler advection versus high-pressure stability favoring higher readings; daily JMA advisories and model refreshes through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 18?
18°C 27%
17°C 22%
19°C 20%
16°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
22%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
9%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 27%
17°C 22%
19°C 20%
16°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$28 Wol.
1%
14°C
$90 Wol.
1%
15°C
$0 Wol.
8%
16°C
$0 Wol.
12%
17°C
$0 Wol.
22%
18°C
$0 Wol.
27%
19°C
$0 Wol.
20%
20°C
$0 Wol.
9%
21°C
$0 Wol.
7%
22°C
$20 Wol.
1%
23°C or higher
$83 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Tokyo's May 18 minimum temperature near 16°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, but spreads of 3–5°C across runs explain the closely matched trader consensus across 14–23°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology averages 15–17°C lows, with urban heat island effects and potential cloud trapping elevating minima amid ENSO-neutral conditions leaning toward El Niño warmth. Key differentiators include frontal passage risks for cooler advection versus high-pressure stability favoring higher readings; daily JMA advisories and model refreshes through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$222Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Tokyo's May 18 minimum temperature near 16°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, but spreads of 3–5°C across runs explain the closely matched trader consensus across 14–23°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology averages 15–17°C lows, with urban heat island effects and potential cloud trapping elevating minima amid ENSO-neutral conditions leaning toward El Niño warmth. Key differentiators include frontal passage risks for cooler advection versus high-pressure stability favoring higher readings; daily JMA advisories and model refreshes through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$222Data zakończenia
May 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent forecast ensembles from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models like GFS and ECMWF project Tokyo's May 18 minimum temperature near 16°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds, but spreads of 3–5°C across runs explain the closely matched trader consensus across 14–23°C outcomes. Mid-May climatology averages 15–17°C lows, with urban heat island effects and potential cloud trapping elevating minima amid ENSO-neutral conditions leaning toward El Niño warmth. Key differentiators include frontal passage risks for cooler advection versus high-pressure stability favoring higher readings; daily JMA advisories and model refreshes through May 17 will clarify steering patterns and refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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