Elevated inflation from the Middle East conflict and associated energy price volatility has shifted market-implied expectations toward possible Federal Reserve rate hikes by late 2026, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.72% as of mid-August. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50-3.75% and core PCE inflation around 3.3%, traders price in a tighter policy path than earlier in the year, consistent with resilient labor market conditions and solid growth. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, along with upcoming CPI and employment data, represent key near-term catalysts that could influence yield trajectories through year-end and into 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$286,171 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
69%
5.0%
31%
5.2%
7%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
6%
$286,171 Wol.
4.8%
$59,309 Wol.
69%
5.0%
$81,173 Wol.
31%
5.2%
$26,278 Wol.
7%
5.5%
$5,832 Wol.
7%
5.7%
$4,234 Wol.
6%
6.0%
$3,059 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Elevated inflation from the Middle East conflict and associated energy price volatility has shifted market-implied expectations toward possible Federal Reserve rate hikes by late 2026, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.72% as of mid-August. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50-3.75% and core PCE inflation around 3.3%, traders price in a tighter policy path than earlier in the year, consistent with resilient labor market conditions and solid growth. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, along with upcoming CPI and employment data, represent key near-term catalysts that could influence yield trajectories through year-end and into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$286,171Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Elevated inflation from the Middle East conflict and associated energy price volatility has shifted market-implied expectations toward possible Federal Reserve rate hikes by late 2026, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.72% as of mid-August. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50-3.75% and core PCE inflation around 3.3%, traders price in a tighter policy path than earlier in the year, consistent with resilient labor market conditions and solid growth. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, along with upcoming CPI and employment data, represent key near-term catalysts that could influence yield trajectories through year-end and into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Wolumen
$286,171Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation from the Middle East conflict and associated energy price volatility has shifted market-implied expectations toward possible Federal Reserve rate hikes by late 2026, supporting 10-year Treasury yields near 4.72% as of mid-August. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50-3.75% and core PCE inflation around 3.3%, traders price in a tighter policy path than earlier in the year, consistent with resilient labor market conditions and solid growth. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, which includes updated economic projections, along with upcoming CPI and employment data, represent key near-term catalysts that could influence yield trajectories through year-end and into 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania