Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamilton at 86% implied probability to win the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his high-profile April 30 announcement as founding pastor of the state's largest United Methodist church and explosive early fundraising topping $1 million within days, dwarfing rivals' first-quarter totals. This momentum from his independent-minded Democrat positioning overshadows a crowded field of nine candidates ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, where Patrick Schmidt (3.5%) benefits from prior state Senate experience and Q1 cash lead, while Sandy Spidel Neumann (3.3%) draws from her financial services background. Lacking public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of name recognition and resources in a low-turnout primary against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAdam Hamilton 86%
Patrick Schmidt 3.6%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$128,238 Wol.
$128,238 Wol.
Adam Hamilton
86%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Damon Anderson
1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Adam Hamilton 86%
Patrick Schmidt 3.6%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$128,238 Wol.
$128,238 Wol.
Adam Hamilton
86%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Damon Anderson
1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamilton at 86% implied probability to win the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his high-profile April 30 announcement as founding pastor of the state's largest United Methodist church and explosive early fundraising topping $1 million within days, dwarfing rivals' first-quarter totals. This momentum from his independent-minded Democrat positioning overshadows a crowded field of nine candidates ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, where Patrick Schmidt (3.5%) benefits from prior state Senate experience and Q1 cash lead, while Sandy Spidel Neumann (3.3%) draws from her financial services background. Lacking public polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of name recognition and resources in a low-turnout primary against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania