Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Southwest, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño, is driving unusually warm overnight conditions across coastal Southern California, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures likely holding in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 26. Recent observations confirm overnight lows failing to drop below 68–70°F amid elevated humidity and suppressed marine-layer cooling, pushing trader consensus toward bins near 70–71°F while leaving room for modest marine intrusion or model spread that could allow a dip into the low 60s. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 66°F, highlighting the short-term forecast's sensitivity to boundary-layer details and any last-minute trough influences.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
70-71°F 58%
64-65°F 47%
61°F or below 46%
72-73°F 27%
61°F or below
46%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
47%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
15%
70-71°F 58%
64-65°F 47%
61°F or below 46%
72-73°F 27%
61°F or below
46%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
47%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging over the Southwest, reinforced by a strengthening El Niño, is driving unusually warm overnight conditions across coastal Southern California, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing minimum temperatures likely holding in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 26. Recent observations confirm overnight lows failing to drop below 68–70°F amid elevated humidity and suppressed marine-layer cooling, pushing trader consensus toward bins near 70–71°F while leaving room for modest marine intrusion or model spread that could allow a dip into the low 60s. This setup contrasts with typical late-August climatology near 66°F, highlighting the short-term forecast's sensitivity to boundary-layer details and any last-minute trough influences.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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