Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on May 20 will likely settle between 11°C and 13°C under a building high-pressure ridge that suppresses strong radiational cooling. This consensus, consistent with climatological May averages near 10°C yet tempered by a recent warm anomaly over western Europe, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 16°C-or-higher and 12°C outcomes. Traders are also monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any southward shift in the jet stream that could allow clearer skies and a sharper overnight drop.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 20?
16°C or higher 35.6%
12°C 29%
11°C 18%
13°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 20, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
5%
11°C
21%
12°C
29%
13°C
12%
14°C
9%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
36%
16°C or higher 35.6%
12°C 29%
11°C 18%
13°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
May 20, 2026
6°C or below
$121 Wol.
1%
7°C
$160 Wol.
2%
8°C
$14 Wol.
5%
9°C
$30 Wol.
5%
10°C
$24 Wol.
5%
11°C
$25 Wol.
21%
12°C
$25 Wol.
29%
13°C
$14 Wol.
12%
14°C
$14 Wol.
9%
15°C
$14 Wol.
8%
16°C or higher
$89 Wol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on May 20 will likely settle between 11°C and 13°C under a building high-pressure ridge that suppresses strong radiational cooling. This consensus, consistent with climatological May averages near 10°C yet tempered by a recent warm anomaly over western Europe, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 16°C-or-higher and 12°C outcomes. Traders are also monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any southward shift in the jet stream that could allow clearer skies and a sharper overnight drop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$531Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on May 20 will likely settle between 11°C and 13°C under a building high-pressure ridge that suppresses strong radiational cooling. This consensus, consistent with climatological May averages near 10°C yet tempered by a recent warm anomaly over western Europe, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 16°C-or-higher and 12°C outcomes. Traders are also monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any southward shift in the jet stream that could allow clearer skies and a sharper overnight drop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$531Data zakończenia
May 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France indicate Paris minimum temperatures on May 20 will likely settle between 11°C and 13°C under a building high-pressure ridge that suppresses strong radiational cooling. This consensus, consistent with climatological May averages near 10°C yet tempered by a recent warm anomaly over western Europe, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 16°C-or-higher and 12°C outcomes. Traders are also monitoring the next 48-hour model updates for any southward shift in the jet stream that could allow clearer skies and a sharper overnight drop.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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