Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly triggered temporary flight restrictions at Moscow’s four major airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—during June 2026. Russian authorities imposed multiple closures, most notably on June 18 amid the largest reported assault since the full-scale invasion and again on June 22 when over 80 drones were intercepted near the capital. These measures, enacted by Rosaviatsiya for civil aviation safety while air defenses engaged threats, caused hundreds of cancellations and delays. Ongoing conflict dynamics, including Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and Russian defensive responses, remain the dominant driver of trader assessments regarding future suspensions, with any escalation or de-escalation in drone activity likely to influence implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
NOWE
Jul 17, 2026
July 17
40%
July 31
61%
August 31
85%
$2,382 Wol.
July 17
$505 Wol.
40%
July 31
$459 Wol.
61%
August 31
$1,417 Wol.
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly triggered temporary flight restrictions at Moscow’s four major airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—during June 2026. Russian authorities imposed multiple closures, most notably on June 18 amid the largest reported assault since the full-scale invasion and again on June 22 when over 80 drones were intercepted near the capital. These measures, enacted by Rosaviatsiya for civil aviation safety while air defenses engaged threats, caused hundreds of cancellations and delays. Ongoing conflict dynamics, including Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and Russian defensive responses, remain the dominant driver of trader assessments regarding future suspensions, with any escalation or de-escalation in drone activity likely to influence implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,382Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly triggered temporary flight restrictions at Moscow’s four major airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—during June 2026. Russian authorities imposed multiple closures, most notably on June 18 amid the largest reported assault since the full-scale invasion and again on June 22 when over 80 drones were intercepted near the capital. These measures, enacted by Rosaviatsiya for civil aviation safety while air defenses engaged threats, caused hundreds of cancellations and delays. Ongoing conflict dynamics, including Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and Russian defensive responses, remain the dominant driver of trader assessments regarding future suspensions, with any escalation or de-escalation in drone activity likely to influence implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$2,382Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian drone attacks have repeatedly triggered temporary flight restrictions at Moscow’s four major airports—Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky—during June 2026. Russian authorities imposed multiple closures, most notably on June 18 amid the largest reported assault since the full-scale invasion and again on June 22 when over 80 drones were intercepted near the capital. These measures, enacted by Rosaviatsiya for civil aviation safety while air defenses engaged threats, caused hundreds of cancellations and delays. Ongoing conflict dynamics, including Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and Russian defensive responses, remain the dominant driver of trader assessments regarding future suspensions, with any escalation or de-escalation in drone activity likely to influence implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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