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icon for Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

icon for Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

11% szansa
Polymarket

$27,595 Wol.

11% szansa
Polymarket

$27,595 Wol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick have already resigned from the House amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct and financial improprieties in April, satisfying three-quarters of the market condition. Trader consensus at 88.5% "No" hinges on Republican Rep. Cory Mills of Florida, who faces ongoing Ethics investigation for assault allegations, campaign finance violations, a dating violence restraining order, and disputed military valor claims documented by Rep. Nancy Mace's April expulsion resolution. Mills refuses to resign, and with no charges filed or hearings scheduled before May 31, the historically rare supermajority expulsion threshold appears unlikely amid the committee's deliberate pace.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$27,595
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Reps. Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick have already resigned from the House amid House Ethics Committee probes into sexual misconduct and financial improprieties in April, satisfying three-quarters of the market condition. Trader consensus at 88.5% "No" hinges on Republican Rep. Cory Mills of Florida, who faces ongoing Ethics investigation for assault allegations, campaign finance violations, a dating violence restraining order, and disputed military valor claims documented by Rep. Nancy Mace's April expulsion resolution. Mills refuses to resign, and with no charges filed or hearings scheduled before May 31, the historically rare supermajority expulsion threshold appears unlikely amid the committee's deliberate pace.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$27,595
Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 11% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 11¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 11% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?" wygenerował $27.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Apr 13, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?" to 11% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 11% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.