Diplomatic recognition of Israel stands at 163 United Nations member states as of February 2026, with the most recent formal addition being Israel's establishment of ties with Somaliland in December 2025. Ongoing normalization efforts tied to the Abraham Accords framework have produced no new Arab-state breakthroughs amid persistent regional tensions, while planned 2026 embassy openings in Bolivia and Fiji reflect renewed or expanded relations rather than fresh recognitions. Traders assess low near-term probability for additional states before June 30, focusing on bilateral negotiations, scheduled diplomatic summits, and any shifts in positions from countries such as Colombia or remaining non-recognizing Arab League members.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$335,859 Wol.

North Korea
2%

Cuba
1%

Saudi Arabia
3%

Lebanon
6%

Afghanistan
1%

Iraq
1%

Pakistan
1%

Syria
3%

Venezuela
2%

Tunisia
1%

Kuwait
2%

Qatar
3%

Indonesia
2%

Malaysia
1%

Bangladesh
3%
$335,859 Wol.

North Korea
2%

Cuba
1%

Saudi Arabia
3%

Lebanon
6%

Afghanistan
1%

Iraq
1%

Pakistan
1%

Syria
3%

Venezuela
2%

Tunisia
1%

Kuwait
2%

Qatar
3%

Indonesia
2%

Malaysia
1%

Bangladesh
3%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic recognition of Israel stands at 163 United Nations member states as of February 2026, with the most recent formal addition being Israel's establishment of ties with Somaliland in December 2025. Ongoing normalization efforts tied to the Abraham Accords framework have produced no new Arab-state breakthroughs amid persistent regional tensions, while planned 2026 embassy openings in Bolivia and Fiji reflect renewed or expanded relations rather than fresh recognitions. Traders assess low near-term probability for additional states before June 30, focusing on bilateral negotiations, scheduled diplomatic summits, and any shifts in positions from countries such as Colombia or remaining non-recognizing Arab League members.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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