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聯邦儲備局 預測與賠率

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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

17%

December 31

$19.9K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

49%

0 (0 bps)

$7.3K 交易量

$65.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

54%

0

$8.3K 交易量

$12.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

82%

No change

$22M 交易量

$572K today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

77%

0 (0 bps)

$39M 交易量

$271K today

$3M Liq.

90

Ends 6 個月內

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

87%

SpaceX

$4M 交易量

$515K Liq.

14

Ends 6 個月內

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

63%

No change

$884K 交易量

$481K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

53%

$3M 交易量

$220K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

19%

December Meeting

$3M 交易量

$351K Liq.

21

Ends 11 天前

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

45%

Other

$39.4K 交易量

$169K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

59%

No change

$108K 交易量

$175K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

45%

October Meeting

$393K 交易量

$115K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

81%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$103K 交易量

$113K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

30%

↑ 4.25%

$2M 交易量

$148K Liq.

11

Ends 6 個月內

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

32%

3.75%

$7M 交易量

$167K Liq.

6

Ends 5 個月內

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

61%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$26.5K 交易量

$127K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

1%

June 30

$51.7K 交易量

$21.5K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

83%

Up

$25.6K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

24%

$44.1K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

38%

December 31

$424K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

22

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 聯邦儲備局.

Polymarket currently hosts 25 active markets for 聯邦儲備局 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $81.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to 0 (0 bps). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 聯邦儲備局 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.