Recent polling averages place Vox on track for 15–17 seats in Andalusia’s 109-seat parliament, reflecting a stable 13–16% vote share across surveys conducted in the final week before Sunday’s election. The People’s Party’s projected 52–58 seats keep it near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold, limiting pressure for formal cooperation with Vox and capping the party’s upside. Vox’s emphasis on immigration controls and “national priority” policies has maintained its third-place standing without recent momentum gains, while the Socialists remain well behind. Late-campaign developments, including heightened rhetoric on borders and coalition dynamics, have not materially altered these seat projections in the closing days.