Kris Mayes maintains a polling edge as Democratic incumbent in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, aligning with trader consensus favoring her reelection at 64% implied probability over Republican nominee Warren Petersen at 43%. Mayes advanced unopposed in the July Democratic primary, while Petersen secured the GOP nomination after defeating Rodney Glassman by roughly 13 points in a costly contest. Recent August surveys from Noble Predictive Insights and others show Mayes ahead by 4–8 points among likely voters, driven by her incumbency advantage and positioning on issues like immigration enforcement and state litigation. The race remains competitive given Arizona's narrow 2022 margin for Mayes and undecided voters in current polling, with the November 3 general election outcome hinging on turnout and late-cycle developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Kris Mayes (D)
64%
Warren Petersen (R)
34%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Kris Mayes (D)
$0 Vol.
64%
Warren Petersen (R)
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Mayes maintains a polling edge as Democratic incumbent in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, aligning with trader consensus favoring her reelection at 64% implied probability over Republican nominee Warren Petersen at 43%. Mayes advanced unopposed in the July Democratic primary, while Petersen secured the GOP nomination after defeating Rodney Glassman by roughly 13 points in a costly contest. Recent August surveys from Noble Predictive Insights and others show Mayes ahead by 4–8 points among likely voters, driven by her incumbency advantage and positioning on issues like immigration enforcement and state litigation. The race remains competitive given Arizona's narrow 2022 margin for Mayes and undecided voters in current polling, with the November 3 general election outcome hinging on turnout and late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Mayes maintains a polling edge as Democratic incumbent in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, aligning with trader consensus favoring her reelection at 64% implied probability over Republican nominee Warren Petersen at 43%. Mayes advanced unopposed in the July Democratic primary, while Petersen secured the GOP nomination after defeating Rodney Glassman by roughly 13 points in a costly contest. Recent August surveys from Noble Predictive Insights and others show Mayes ahead by 4–8 points among likely voters, driven by her incumbency advantage and positioning on issues like immigration enforcement and state litigation. The race remains competitive given Arizona's narrow 2022 margin for Mayes and undecided voters in current polling, with the November 3 general election outcome hinging on turnout and late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kris Mayes maintains a polling edge as Democratic incumbent in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, aligning with trader consensus favoring her reelection at 64% implied probability over Republican nominee Warren Petersen at 43%. Mayes advanced unopposed in the July Democratic primary, while Petersen secured the GOP nomination after defeating Rodney Glassman by roughly 13 points in a costly contest. Recent August surveys from Noble Predictive Insights and others show Mayes ahead by 4–8 points among likely voters, driven by her incumbency advantage and positioning on issues like immigration enforcement and state litigation. The race remains competitive given Arizona's narrow 2022 margin for Mayes and undecided voters in current polling, with the November 3 general election outcome hinging on turnout and late-cycle developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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