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Mundo·Arménia

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Arménia

icon for Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Arménia
Mundo·Arménia

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Arménia

Contrato Civil 94%

Armênia Forte 5.4%

Aliança Armênia <1%

Armênia Próspera <1%

Polymarket

$179,993 Vol.

Contrato Civil 94%

Armênia Forte 5.4%

Aliança Armênia <1%

Armênia Próspera <1%

Polymarket

$179,993 Vol.

icon for Contrato Civil

Contrato Civil

$55,181 Vol.

94%

icon for Armênia Forte

Armênia Forte

$8,965 Vol.

5%

icon for Aliança Armênia

Aliança Armênia

$56,873 Vol.

<1%

icon for Armênia Próspera

Armênia Próspera

$9,749 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aliança Tenho Honra

Aliança Tenho Honra

$7,219 Vol.

<1%

icon for Congresso Nacional Armênio

Congresso Nacional Armênio

$8,828 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aliança Luminosa da Armênia

Aliança Luminosa da Armênia

$7,741 Vol.

<1%

icon for Partido Hanrapetutyun

Partido Hanrapetutyun

$7,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Herança

Herança

$8,236 Vol.

<1%

icon for Orinats Yerkir

Orinats Yerkir

$9,835 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects trader consensus on recent polls showing the incumbent party surging toward a majority under proportional representation, with the latest Armenian Election Study (ArmES) third-wave survey indicating strengthening support amid opposition fragmentation across 19 competing forces, including Strong Armenia at around 6%. The official campaign period began May 8, following Pashinyan's pragmatic foreign policy signals toward Azerbaijan and Turkey, while PACE and OSCE/ODIHR pre-electoral missions warn of potential foreign interference risks. This positioning echoes incumbency advantages in prior cycles, though late-breaking scandals, low turnout among government backers, or unified opposition challenges could shift dynamics before the June 7 vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$179,993
Data de Término
7 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Armenia parliamentary election winner market reflects trader consensus on recent polls showing the incumbent party surging toward a majority under proportional representation, with the latest Armenian Election Study (ArmES) third-wave survey indicating strengthening support amid opposition fragmentation across 19 competing forces, including Strong Armenia at around 6%. The official campaign period began May 8, following Pashinyan's pragmatic foreign policy signals toward Azerbaijan and Turkey, while PACE and OSCE/ODIHR pre-electoral missions warn of potential foreign interference risks. This positioning echoes incumbency advantages in prior cycles, though late-breaking scandals, low turnout among government backers, or unified opposition challenges could shift dynamics before the June 7 vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.

If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$179,993
Data de Término
7 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election. If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Arménia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Contrato Civil" at 94%, followed by "Armênia Forte" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Arménia" has generated $180K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Arménia," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Arménia" is "Contrato Civil" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Armênia Forte" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Arménia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.