Incumbent Iliana Iotova holds the clearest path in Bulgaria’s autumn 2026 presidential election, with trader consensus reflecting her incumbency advantage and the recent political stabilization after Progressive Bulgaria’s April parliamentary landslide secured an outright majority. This outcome ended years of snap elections and coalition instability, allowing Iotova to issue the mandate for government formation in early May. Opposition candidates remain fragmented, with figures such as Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev drawing limited support from smaller centrist and pro-European blocs that performed poorly in the parliamentary vote. No consolidating rival has emerged to challenge her position ahead of the two-round contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleições presidenciais na Bulgária
Iliana Iotova 61%
Nikolai Denkov 10%
Vassil Terziev 7.5%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$103,560 Vol.
$103,560 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
61%

Nikolai Denkov
10%

Vassil Terziev
8%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Blagomir Kotsev
<1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 61%
Nikolai Denkov 10%
Vassil Terziev 7.5%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$103,560 Vol.
$103,560 Vol.

Iliana Iotova
61%

Nikolai Denkov
10%

Vassil Terziev
8%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Blagomir Kotsev
<1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%

Atanas Atanasov
<1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Plevneliev
<1%

Krum Zarkov
<1%

Yanaki Stoilov
<1%

Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Iliana Iotova holds the clearest path in Bulgaria’s autumn 2026 presidential election, with trader consensus reflecting her incumbency advantage and the recent political stabilization after Progressive Bulgaria’s April parliamentary landslide secured an outright majority. This outcome ended years of snap elections and coalition instability, allowing Iotova to issue the mandate for government formation in early May. Opposition candidates remain fragmented, with figures such as Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev drawing limited support from smaller centrist and pro-European blocs that performed poorly in the parliamentary vote. No consolidating rival has emerged to challenge her position ahead of the two-round contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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