The Bank of Canada’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 annual CPI inflation forecast upward to 2.3 percent from 2.0 percent in January, citing elevated gasoline prices tied to the Middle East conflict. This shift aligns with March CPI data showing a jump to 2.4 percent year-over-year from 1.8 percent in February, with energy costs driving the acceleration. Trader consensus reflected in current market-implied probabilities favors outcomes clustered around 2.0–2.9 percent, consistent with the central bank’s base case that inflation will peak near 3 percent in April before easing toward its 2 percent target in 2027. The next CPI release on May 19 could further shape these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInflação Anual do Canadá 2026
Inflação Anual do Canadá 2026
2,5–2,9% 48.8%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 4.8%
<1,0% <1%
$16,408 Vol.
$16,408 Vol.
18 jan 2027
<1,0%
1%
1,0–1,4%
5%
1,5–1,9%
38%
2,0–2,4%
20%
2,5–2,9%
49%
3,0-3,4%
39%
3,5-3,9%
30%
4,0%+
33%
2,5–2,9% 48.8%
2,0–2,4% 20.0%
1,0–1,4% 4.8%
<1,0% <1%
$16,408 Vol.
$16,408 Vol.
18 jan 2027
<1,0%
$318 Vol.
1%
1,0–1,4%
$355 Vol.
5%
1,5–1,9%
$656 Vol.
38%
2,0–2,4%
$468 Vol.
20%
2,5–2,9%
$502 Vol.
49%
3,0-3,4%
$13,465 Vol.
39%
3,5-3,9%
$287 Vol.
30%
4,0%+
$357 Vol.
33%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665The Bank of Canada’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 annual CPI inflation forecast upward to 2.3 percent from 2.0 percent in January, citing elevated gasoline prices tied to the Middle East conflict. This shift aligns with March CPI data showing a jump to 2.4 percent year-over-year from 1.8 percent in February, with energy costs driving the acceleration. Trader consensus reflected in current market-implied probabilities favors outcomes clustered around 2.0–2.9 percent, consistent with the central bank’s base case that inflation will peak near 3 percent in April before easing toward its 2 percent target in 2027. The next CPI release on May 19 could further shape these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercado Aberto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$16,408Data de Término
18 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665The Bank of Canada’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 annual CPI inflation forecast upward to 2.3 percent from 2.0 percent in January, citing elevated gasoline prices tied to the Middle East conflict. This shift aligns with March CPI data showing a jump to 2.4 percent year-over-year from 1.8 percent in February, with energy costs driving the acceleration. Trader consensus reflected in current market-implied probabilities favors outcomes clustered around 2.0–2.9 percent, consistent with the central bank’s base case that inflation will peak near 3 percent in April before easing toward its 2 percent target in 2027. The next CPI release on May 19 could further shape these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$16,408Data de Término
18 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Bank of Canada’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 annual CPI inflation forecast upward to 2.3 percent from 2.0 percent in January, citing elevated gasoline prices tied to the Middle East conflict. This shift aligns with March CPI data showing a jump to 2.4 percent year-over-year from 1.8 percent in February, with energy costs driving the acceleration. Trader consensus reflected in current market-implied probabilities favors outcomes clustered around 2.0–2.9 percent, consistent with the central bank’s base case that inflation will peak near 3 percent in April before easing toward its 2 percent target in 2027. The next CPI release on May 19 could further shape these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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