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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez 38%

Gilberto Loya Chávez 38%

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 30%

Francisco Sánchez Villegas 22%

Polymarket
NOVO

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez 38%

Gilberto Loya Chávez 38%

Marco Bonilla Mendoza 30%

Francisco Sánchez Villegas 22%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez

$46 Vol.

38%

icon for Gilberto Loya Chávez

Gilberto Loya Chávez

$46 Vol.

38%

icon for Marco Bonilla Mendoza

Marco Bonilla Mendoza

$46 Vol.

30%

icon for Francisco Sánchez Villegas

Francisco Sánchez Villegas

$46 Vol.

22%

icon for Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant

$46 Vol.

21%

icon for Graciela Ortiz González

Graciela Ortiz González

$46 Vol.

20%

icon for Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

Cruz Pérez Cuéllar

$46 Vol.

15%

icon for Martín Chaparro Payán

Martín Chaparro Payán

$46 Vol.

14%

icon for Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

Alfredo Lozoya Santillán

$46 Vol.

12%

icon for Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

Santiago de la Peña Grajeda

$46 Vol.

10%

icon for Andrea Chávez Treviño

Andrea Chávez Treviño

$46 Vol.

9%

icon for Jesús Valenciano García

Jesús Valenciano García

$46 Vol.

8%

icon for Daniela Álvarez Hernández

Daniela Álvarez Hernández

$46 Vol.

7%

icon for Mario Vázquez Robles

Mario Vázquez Robles

$46 Vol.

6%

icon for Rosana Díaz Reyes

Rosana Díaz Reyes

$46 Vol.

26%

icon for Julián LeBarón

Julián LeBarón

$46 Vol.

26%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**The Chihuahua gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fragmented early in the cycle, with no dominant frontrunner emerging among declared or potential candidates.** Party-level polling shows Morena holding a lead in voter preferences (typically 28–40 percent range in mid-2026 surveys), ahead of PAN (around 19–22 percent), PRI, and smaller parties, reflecting the state’s competitive partisan balance under term-limited PAN incumbent Maru Campos. Individual candidate odds stay closely bunched because internal nomination processes within Morena and PAN are still fluid, and voter support has not consolidated behind specific names. Recent surveys highlight figures such as Cruz Pérez Cuéllar and Andrea Chávez Treviño positioning strongly inside Morena, while Marco Bonilla Mendoza leads PAN preferences in some head-to-head tests; security-related developments and cross-border issues have also kept Gilberto Loya Chávez in view. Scheduled party binding polls, convention outcomes, and any further polling shifts between now and the June 2027 election could quickly reorder the field by clarifying nominees and narrowing the contest.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$728
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**The Chihuahua gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fragmented early in the cycle, with no dominant frontrunner emerging among declared or potential candidates.** Party-level polling shows Morena holding a lead in voter preferences (typically 28–40 percent range in mid-2026 surveys), ahead of PAN (around 19–22 percent), PRI, and smaller parties, reflecting the state’s competitive partisan balance under term-limited PAN incumbent Maru Campos. Individual candidate odds stay closely bunched because internal nomination processes within Morena and PAN are still fluid, and voter support has not consolidated behind specific names. Recent surveys highlight figures such as Cruz Pérez Cuéllar and Andrea Chávez Treviño positioning strongly inside Morena, while Marco Bonilla Mendoza leads PAN preferences in some head-to-head tests; security-related developments and cross-border issues have also kept Gilberto Loya Chávez in view. Scheduled party binding polls, convention outcomes, and any further polling shifts between now and the June 2027 election could quickly reorder the field by clarifying nominees and narrowing the contest.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$728
Data de Término
6 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:13 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez" at 39%, followed by "Gilberto Loya Chávez" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua" is "Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gilberto Loya Chávez" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Chihuahua" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.