Recent polling shows the center-right DISY maintaining a narrow lead over the left-wing AKEL in the race for the most seats in Cyprus’s May 24 parliamentary election, supporting the current market pricing. Record candidate numbers and rising support for newer parties such as ALMA and Direct Democracy are driving fragmentation that has eroded shares for centrist groups backing the president, while the far-right ELAM continues to climb into third place. Analysts note that district-level organization, turnout patterns, and last-minute shifts will likely decide first place between the two largest parties. With voting one week away, the implied probability in the market reflects traders’ assessment of these late-campaign dynamics rather than any decisive breakthrough for challengers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Representantes do Chipre
DISY 77%
AKEL 20%
ELAM <1%
DNM (DEK) <1%
$37,880 Vol.
$37,880 Vol.
DISY
77%
AKEL
20%
ELAM
1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
DISY 77%
AKEL 20%
ELAM <1%
DNM (DEK) <1%
$37,880 Vol.
$37,880 Vol.
DISY
77%
AKEL
20%
ELAM
1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the center-right DISY maintaining a narrow lead over the left-wing AKEL in the race for the most seats in Cyprus’s May 24 parliamentary election, supporting the current market pricing. Record candidate numbers and rising support for newer parties such as ALMA and Direct Democracy are driving fragmentation that has eroded shares for centrist groups backing the president, while the far-right ELAM continues to climb into third place. Analysts note that district-level organization, turnout patterns, and last-minute shifts will likely decide first place between the two largest parties. With voting one week away, the implied probability in the market reflects traders’ assessment of these late-campaign dynamics rather than any decisive breakthrough for challengers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions