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FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Eric Yonce 69%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera 31%

Robert Cooper 1.4%

Steve Morgan <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Eric Yonce 69%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera 31%

Robert Cooper 1.4%

Steve Morgan <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Eric Yonce

$1,686 Vol.

69%

Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera

$4,541 Vol.

31%

Robert Cooper

$907 Vol.

1%

Steve Morgan

$644 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Yonce leads the Florida 6th congressional district Democratic primary market at 69 percent, ahead of Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera at 30.5 percent and lower probabilities for Robert Cooper, Steve Morgan, and others, reflecting trader consensus on his fundraising edge and visibility. With the August 18 primary just days away, Yonce has reported significantly higher campaign receipts than rivals, supporting stronger ground operations in this open-seat contest. No major late-breaking events or endorsements have shifted the field in recent weeks, leaving limited room for movement before voters decide. The multi-candidate primary structure favors the best-organized contender under Florida's election rules, consistent with the current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,779
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Yonce leads the Florida 6th congressional district Democratic primary market at 69 percent, ahead of Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera at 30.5 percent and lower probabilities for Robert Cooper, Steve Morgan, and others, reflecting trader consensus on his fundraising edge and visibility. With the August 18 primary just days away, Yonce has reported significantly higher campaign receipts than rivals, supporting stronger ground operations in this open-seat contest. No major late-breaking events or endorsements have shifted the field in recent weeks, leaving limited room for movement before voters decide. The multi-candidate primary structure favors the best-organized contender under Florida's election rules, consistent with the current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,779
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Yonce" at 69%, followed by "Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Eric Yonce" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.