Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government, creating a fragmented contest for the 102-seat National People’s Assembly. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability at 30.7 percent, ahead of smaller parties including FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT, reflecting a wide-open field with no party near a majority. Key differentiators include coalition-building capacity, regional and ethnic support bases, positions on restoring civilian rule and economic stability, and perceived distance from or alignment with transitional authorities. Consolidation behind one contender could hinge on pre-election alliances, campaign momentum, or international election monitoring outcomes that shift trader assessments of likely seat shares.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau
Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional Popular da Guiné-Bissau
FLING 8.5%
PS 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.7%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,673 Vol.
$156,673 Vol.
23 nov 2025
FLING
9%
PS
6%
MUNDO-GB
5%
FREPASNA
4%
PT
3%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
31%
FLING 8.5%
PS 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.7%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,673 Vol.
$156,673 Vol.
23 nov 2025
FLING
$12,806 Vol.
9%
PS
$24,851 Vol.
6%
MUNDO-GB
$22,722 Vol.
5%
FREPASNA
$26,649 Vol.
4%
PT
$21,794 Vol.
3%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$47,851 Vol.
31%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government, creating a fragmented contest for the 102-seat National People’s Assembly. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability at 30.7 percent, ahead of smaller parties including FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT, reflecting a wide-open field with no party near a majority. Key differentiators include coalition-building capacity, regional and ethnic support bases, positions on restoring civilian rule and economic stability, and perceived distance from or alignment with transitional authorities. Consolidation behind one contender could hinge on pre-election alliances, campaign momentum, or international election monitoring outcomes that shift trader assessments of likely seat shares.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Mercado Aberto: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$156,673Data de Término
23 nov 2025Mercado Aberto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government, creating a fragmented contest for the 102-seat National People’s Assembly. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability at 30.7 percent, ahead of smaller parties including FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT, reflecting a wide-open field with no party near a majority. Key differentiators include coalition-building capacity, regional and ethnic support bases, positions on restoring civilian rule and economic stability, and perceived distance from or alignment with transitional authorities. Consolidation behind one contender could hinge on pre-election alliances, campaign momentum, or international election monitoring outcomes that shift trader assessments of likely seat shares.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$156,673Data de Término
23 nov 2025Mercado Aberto
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government, creating a fragmented contest for the 102-seat National People’s Assembly. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability at 30.7 percent, ahead of smaller parties including FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT, reflecting a wide-open field with no party near a majority. Key differentiators include coalition-building capacity, regional and ethnic support bases, positions on restoring civilian rule and economic stability, and perceived distance from or alignment with transitional authorities. Consolidation behind one contender could hinge on pre-election alliances, campaign momentum, or international election monitoring outcomes that shift trader assessments of likely seat shares.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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