Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions Chicago's highest temperature on August 26 near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of 81°F, with ensemble forecasts favoring afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s under partly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market's heavy weighting toward the 84-85°F and 82-83°F bins, as modest warming from upstream ridging outweighs typical Lake Michigan cooling. Updated runs show limited model spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover that could cap readings below 82°F or push them into the upper 80s. Forecasters will issue final verification from official O'Hare observations tomorrow evening, after which the market resolves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 26 de agosto?
84-85°F 49%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 11%
80-81°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 49%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 11%
80-81°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
75°F or below
$108 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$36 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$552 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$165 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$197 Vol.
30%
84-85°F
$560 Vol.
49%
86-87°F
$432 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$98 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$73 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$188 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions Chicago's highest temperature on August 26 near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of 81°F, with ensemble forecasts favoring afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s under partly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market's heavy weighting toward the 84-85°F and 82-83°F bins, as modest warming from upstream ridging outweighs typical Lake Michigan cooling. Updated runs show limited model spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover that could cap readings below 82°F or push them into the upper 80s. Forecasters will issue final verification from official O'Hare observations tomorrow evening, after which the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,797Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions Chicago's highest temperature on August 26 near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of 81°F, with ensemble forecasts favoring afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s under partly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market's heavy weighting toward the 84-85°F and 82-83°F bins, as modest warming from upstream ridging outweighs typical Lake Michigan cooling. Updated runs show limited model spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover that could cap readings below 82°F or push them into the upper 80s. Forecasters will issue final verification from official O'Hare observations tomorrow evening, after which the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,797Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance positions Chicago's highest temperature on August 26 near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of 81°F, with ensemble forecasts favoring afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s under partly sunny skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market's heavy weighting toward the 84-85°F and 82-83°F bins, as modest warming from upstream ridging outweighs typical Lake Michigan cooling. Updated runs show limited model spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover that could cap readings below 82°F or push them into the upper 80s. Forecasters will issue final verification from official O'Hare observations tomorrow evening, after which the market resolves.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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