Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Chongqing's June 15 daily high most likely near 30–32 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 31 °C (30.5 %). Persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover, and weak steering flow typical of early June in the Sichuan Basin are supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or organized convection. Minor model spread arises from differing treatments of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap temperatures or allow brief clearing. With resolution tied to official station maxima, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range against climatological baselines showing June averages near 29–30 °C. Updated runs ahead of the 15th will refine the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
31°C 31%
30°C 22%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 22%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Chongqing's June 15 daily high most likely near 30–32 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 31 °C (30.5 %). Persistent high humidity, limited cloud cover, and weak steering flow typical of early June in the Sichuan Basin are supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or organized convection. Minor model spread arises from differing treatments of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap temperatures or allow brief clearing. With resolution tied to official station maxima, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range against climatological baselines showing June averages near 29–30 °C. Updated runs ahead of the 15th will refine the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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