Recent National Weather Service model consensus favors a Dallas high temperature in the low 80s on May 19, driven by southerly advection of warm, moist air ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads show modest differences in cloud cover timing and shower development that could nudge the peak reading between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F ranges, with any earlier or heavier convection capping the maximum. Historical May climatology for the area places average highs near 85°F, providing context for why traders see limited odds above 86°F absent stronger ridging. Updated short-range guidance from the National Weather Service is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 19 de maio?
80-81°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 16%
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
16%
30-31°C
14%
88-89°F
5%
32-33°C
5%
92°F ou mais
3%
80-81°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 16%
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
16%
30-31°C
14%
88-89°F
5%
32-33°C
5%
92°F ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service model consensus favors a Dallas high temperature in the low 80s on May 19, driven by southerly advection of warm, moist air ahead of a weak frontal boundary and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads show modest differences in cloud cover timing and shower development that could nudge the peak reading between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F ranges, with any earlier or heavier convection capping the maximum. Historical May climatology for the area places average highs near 85°F, providing context for why traders see limited odds above 86°F absent stronger ridging. Updated short-range guidance from the National Weather Service is expected within the next 24 hours and will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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