The Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological records for May 15 established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This reading aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the subtropical climate, where May averages hover near 28°C and sea-surface temperatures around 26°C support modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Forecasters noted no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification that would push readings higher, and model consensus from the previous 48 hours showed little spread around the 26–28°C range. A final verification report or minor station adjustment remains the only realistic pathway that could alter resolution, though historical data indicate such revisions rarely exceed 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de maio?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Vol.
$292,518 Vol.
15 mai 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Vol.
$292,518 Vol.
15 mai 2026
19°C ou menos
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$35,925 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological records for May 15 established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This reading aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the subtropical climate, where May averages hover near 28°C and sea-surface temperatures around 26°C support modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Forecasters noted no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification that would push readings higher, and model consensus from the previous 48 hours showed little spread around the 26–28°C range. A final verification report or minor station adjustment remains the only realistic pathway that could alter resolution, though historical data indicate such revisions rarely exceed 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$292,518Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological records for May 15 established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This reading aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the subtropical climate, where May averages hover near 28°C and sea-surface temperatures around 26°C support modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Forecasters noted no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification that would push readings higher, and model consensus from the previous 48 hours showed little spread around the 26–28°C range. A final verification report or minor station adjustment remains the only realistic pathway that could alter resolution, though historical data indicate such revisions rarely exceed 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$292,518Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official meteorological records for May 15 established a daily maximum temperature of 27°C, driving the overwhelming market consensus. This reading aligns with typical early-summer conditions in the subtropical climate, where May averages hover near 28°C and sea-surface temperatures around 26°C support modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. Forecasters noted no significant warm advection or urban heat-island amplification that would push readings higher, and model consensus from the previous 48 hours showed little spread around the 26–28°C range. A final verification report or minor station adjustment remains the only realistic pathway that could alter resolution, though historical data indicate such revisions rarely exceed 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions