India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 37°C on June 14, 2026, with possible thundershowers and increased moisture from western disturbances moderating daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s dominant 37°C outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered rainfall suppress peak values below the seasonal climatological range of 38–42°C for early June. Official IMD guidance emphasizes partly cloudy skies and gusty winds that limit extreme heat buildup, while ensemble models show limited disagreement around this threshold. Traders are weighting the morning IMD bulletin and real-time observations heavily, given resolution depends on verified daily maximum readings rather than forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
37°C 77%
38°C 21%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$33,044 Vol.
$33,044 Vol.
32°C ou menos
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
77%
38°C
21%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou mais
<1%
37°C 77%
38°C 21%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
$33,044 Vol.
$33,044 Vol.
32°C ou menos
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
77%
38°C
21%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 37°C on June 14, 2026, with possible thundershowers and increased moisture from western disturbances moderating daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s dominant 37°C outcome at 65.5% implied probability, as cloud cover and scattered rainfall suppress peak values below the seasonal climatological range of 38–42°C for early June. Official IMD guidance emphasizes partly cloudy skies and gusty winds that limit extreme heat buildup, while ensemble models show limited disagreement around this threshold. Traders are weighting the morning IMD bulletin and real-time observations heavily, given resolution depends on verified daily maximum readings rather than forecasts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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